note: I am not saying he did or didn't do it or that he is not capable to do it nor am i defending Assad.
I found that there are a few discrepancies in the report for example:
There are few "credible" sources used, some former detainees, prison guards and a judge and most of them would have an anti Assad attitude due to them being held there in Saydnaya.
Second the calculation of the deaths shows that the numbers were not validated.
These estimates were based on the following calculations. If between seven and 20 were killed every 10-15 days
from September to December 2011, the total figure would be between 56 people and 240 people for that period. If
between 20 and 50 were killed every week between January and November 2012, the total figure would be between
880 and 2,200 for that period. If between 20 and 50 people were killed in 222 execution sessions (assuming the
executions were carried out twice a week twice a month and once a week once a month) between December 2012 and
December 2015, the total figure would be between 4,400 and 11,100 for that period. These calculations produce a
minimum figure of 5,336, rounded down to the nearest thousand as 5,000, and 13,540, rounded down to the
nearest thousand as 13,000.
Thirdly is that mass graves are visible from schatelite images as can be seen from the 72 mass graves from ISIS, it would be visible on schatelite if there were 13.000 deaths in a mass graves.
I will assume that there will be further evidence in the future to support Amnesty claim but for now i would take it with a grain of salt and read the report for yourself including what they used as sources.
[Direct Link](https://www.amnesty.org/download/Documents/MDE2454152017ENGLISH.PDF)
note: I am not saying he did or didn't do it or that he is not capable to do it nor am i defending Assad.
I found that there are a few discrepancies in the report for example:
There are few "credible" sources used, some former detainees, prison guards and a judge and most of them would have an anti Assad attitude due to them being held there in Saydnaya.
Second the calculation of the deaths shows that the numbers were not validated.
> These estimates were based on the following calculations. If between seven and 20 were killed every 10-15 days
> from September to December 2011, the total figure would be between 56 people and 240 people for that period. If
> between 20 and 50 were killed every week between January and November 2012, the total figure would be between
> 880 and 2,200 for that period. If between 20 and 50 people were killed in 222 execution sessions (assuming the
> executions were carried out twice a week twice a month and once a week once a month) between December 2012 and
> December 2015, the total figure would be between 4,400 and 11,100 for that period. These calculations produce a
> minimum figure of 5,336, rounded down to the nearest thousand as 5,000, and 13,540, rounded down to the
> nearest thousand as 13,000.
Thirdly is that mass graves are visible from schatelite images as can be seen from the 72 mass graves from ISIS, it would be visible on schatelite if there were 13.000 deaths in a mass graves.
I will assume that there will be further evidence in the future to support Amnesty claim but for now i would take it with a grain of salt and read the report for yourself including what they used as sources.
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note: I am not saying he did or didn't do it or that he is not capable to do it nor am i defending Assad.
I found that there are a few discrepancies in the report for example:
There are few "credible" sources used, some former detainees, prison guards and a judge and most of them would have an anti Assad attitude due to them being held there in Saydnaya.
Second the calculation of the deaths shows that the numbers were not validated.
Thirdly is that mass graves are visible from schatelite images as can be seen from the 72 mass graves from ISIS, it would be visible on schatelite if there were 13.000 deaths in a mass graves.
I will assume that there will be further evidence in the future to support Amnesty claim but for now i would take it with a grain of salt and read the report for yourself including what they used as sources.